Premier League · EnglandMatchday 107 November 2026City Ground

Nottingham Forest 3:1 Manchester City

Pick lostyarmo pick: Manchester City to win1.74odds56%probability

xG vs score

xG edge: Manchester City
1.10xG · Nottingham Forest
3 : 1score
1.78xG · Manchester City

Expected goals: how many a team should have scored based on the quality of its chances.

Nottingham Forest

Stats

Manchester City
22%Possession78%
11 / 5Shots / on target12 / 4
7Shots inside the box10
3Corners7
208 (66%)Passes (accuracy)771 (88%)
2Goalkeeper saves2
13Fouls7
4Yellow cards0
2Offsides0

Timeline

  1. Jair CunhaGoal6'
  2. Liam DelapGoal · assist: Xaver Schlager18'
  3. Half time · 2:0
  4. 52'Rayan CherkiGoal
  5. James McateeYellow card64'
  6. Dan NdoyeYellow card69'
  7. Liam DelapGoal · assist: Morgan Gibbs-White73'
  8. Luca NetzYellow card90+4'
  9. Igor JesusYellow card90+5'
  10. Full time · 3:1

Referee: Samuel Barrott

Top players

8.7L. DelapNottingham Forestgoals: 2 · 87'
7.3M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forestassists: 1 · key passes: 3
7.2R. CherkiManchester Citygoals: 1 · key passes: 2
7.1Matheus NunesManchester Citykey passes: 2 · 45'
7.0X. SchlagerNottingham Forestassists: 1 · key passes: 1
6.9MurilloNottingham Forestkey passes: 2

An analytical prediction, not a guaranteed result. Odds are shown for reference only, as recorded when the pick was published. 18+.